MIAMI, FLORIDA – The much-anticipated final regular season game of the NFL is set to take place on the primetime stage at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday night. The Miami Dolphins will host the Buffalo Bills in a Week 18 showdown, with the AFC East title hanging in the balance. The Dolphins, who boast an impressive 11-5 overall record and a strong 7-1 home record, come into this game off the back of a disappointing blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 17. Meanwhile, the Bills, with a 10-6 overall record, are vying for their fourth consecutive division title and are currently riding a four-game winning streak.
This highly anticipated game is scheduled to kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET in Miami. The Bills are three-point favorites, with the over/under set at 48.5 points, according to the latest odds. Before making any predictions, it’s important to consider the insights offered by SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model, which has a proven track record and has generated substantial profits for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks.
The model, which has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times, has seen a remarkable run on top-rated NFL picks, accumulating winnings exceeding $7,000 since its inception. With a history of success dating back to the 2017 season, the model has an impressive record of 181-129 on top-rated NFL picks. It has also enjoyed a strong performance since Week 7 of last season, going 35-21. Additionally, the model has been highly accurate in predicting straight-up NFL picks, consistently ranking in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch. It has outperformed more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players on four occasions. Those who have followed the model’s predictions in the past have reaped the rewards.
At this pivotal moment, the model has turned its attention to the Bills vs. Dolphins matchup and has released its expert picks and NFL predictions. Fans can find these picks on SportsLine’s website. Analyzing the latest NFL odds and betting lines for this game, the Bills are favored by three points, while the over/under is set at 48.5 points. The Bills are also favored on the money line at -159, with the Dolphins standing at +135. It is worth noting that the Bills have struggled on the road, going 2-5 against the spread, while the Dolphins have excelled at home, with a 6-2 record against the spread.
When it comes to the Bills’ chances of covering the spread, their offensive prowess has been key to their success. The Bills rank sixth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.9 points per game. They have been efficient in converting scoring opportunities, with points generated on 42.4% of drives. Additionally, the Bills excel in total yards (368.3 per game), yards per play (5.7), and third-down conversions (49.0%). Quarterback Josh Allen has been instrumental in the team’s success, and his dominance against the Dolphins is evident. In their 12 meetings, Allen has averaged over 328.9 total yards and more than three touchdowns per game. He currently leads the NFL with 42 total touchdowns, setting a new record for reaching 40 total touchdowns in four consecutive seasons.
On the other side, the Dolphins have showcased their strength on home turf, with an impressive 7-1 record at Hard Rock Stadium. Their offense has been nothing short of explosive, averaging 34.1 points per game and outscoring opponents by an average of 16.9 points. Miami leads the NFL in scoring, averaging 30.1 points per game, and has excelled in passing yards (271.1 per game) and total yards (409.2 per game). With strong offensive performances, the Dolphins have maintained an average of 6.5 yards per play and have been particularly potent in the red zone, converting 64.9% of trips into touchdowns. Their ground game has also been formidable, leading the league with 5.0 yards per carry and 26 rushing touchdowns.
As the anticipation builds, SportsLine’s model reveals that the total points scored in this game is likely to exceed expectations, with both teams projected to throw for 249 yards or more. Furthermore, the model identifies one side of the spread that offers great value. For the model’s final pick and more expert analysis, head over to SportsLine.
In summary, the Sunday night clash between the Bills and Dolphins is set to be an electrifying affair, with the AFC East title at stake. The Dolphins, powered by a strong home record and an explosive offense, will look to overcome the Bills’ offensive prowess, led by the exceptional talent of Josh Allen. To find out what side of the spread holds the most value, follow SportsLine’s expert picks.