Los Angeles, California – The nominations voting period for the 96th Academy Awards has officially concluded, bringing the race for the coveted awards to a suspenseful close. As the anticipation builds, recent industry events such as the Critics Choice Awards and the Golden Globes have had a significant impact on the Oscars race. Christopher Nolan’s film “Oppenheimer” emerged as a frontrunner, earning accolades from both organizations. However, other films like Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie” and Yorgos Lanthimos’ “Poor Things” have also garnered attention for their remarkable performances. Additionally, movies like Alexander Payne’s “The Holdovers” and Justine Triet’s “Anatomy of a Fall” are gaining momentum in the industry.
To gain further insight into the preferences of Academy members, Variety spoke with numerous voters from various branches of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). These conversations shed light on the films and performances that have resonated the most with members and their acquaintances. Here are six key takeaways from these discussions.
Firstly, there is a possibility of a record-breaking showing for female directors in the Best Picture category at the Oscars. The Producers Guild of America has nominated three movies directed by women: “Anatomy of a Fall,” “Barbie,” and “Past Lives.” If these three films make it to the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars, it would mark the highest number of female-directed movies ever nominated. Only 19 movies directed by women have been recognized by the Academy thus far, with only four instances of two female-directed movies being nominated in the same year.
Secondly, Greta Gerwig’s chances of securing a Best Director nomination for “Barbie” are uncertain. Some AMPAS members express skepticism, citing the perception that it is merely a Barbie movie which may hinder its chances. The upcoming BAFTA nominations may provide some clarity on the matter, as two female filmmakers automatically secure spots among the six nominees through the voting method. If Greta Gerwig is not among the two nominees, it could signal trouble with international voters.
Furthermore, “Saltburn” is generating significant buzz and polarizing responses. Emerald Fennell’s thriller has captivated audiences, with Amazon MGM’s campaign using innovative tactics like featuring the infamous bathtub drain seen on Sunset Blvd in Los Angeles. The film is on the bubble in several categories, including supporting actress, original screenplay, production design, cinematography, and original score.
“The Color Purple” is dependent on the support of the Acting branch to keep its awards hopes alive. Despite critical acclaim, the musical remake has faced challenges in receiving recognition from various guilds. It is now relying on the strong support of the Actors Branch, especially for potential nominees like Danielle Brooks. However, historically, a musical performance has never been the sole nomination for its respective movie.
Ava DuVernay’s “Origin” could follow in the footsteps of “Mank” by amassing multiple nominations. The drama has garnered notable support from industry heavyweights like Cher and Angelina Jolie, creating speculation of a potential surprise nomination. However, some voters believe it may only secure a Best Picture nomination, resembling the fate of “The Ox-Bow Incident” in 1943.
The fate of the supporting actors in “Poor Things” is uncertain. In recent years, two supporting actor nominees have come from the same film consistently. However, this year, nominees Willem Dafoe and Mark Ruffalo from “Poor Things” have not received consistent recognition together. With differing nominations from award ceremonies like SAG and BAFTA, it remains unclear if both, one, or neither of them will secure a nomination.
Lastly, “Maestro” is predicted to follow a similar trajectory as “Mank,” with the potential for numerous nominations. Despite uncertainties surrounding original screenplays and artisan races, the Bradley Cooper-directed biopic is expected to secure nominations in several categories. As a Netflix feature, it has the advantage of the streamer’s track record for garnering multiple nominations.
Amidst the anticipation and discussions surrounding these films and performances, the Oscars nominations announcement is eagerly awaited. As voters cast their ballots, the film industry and audiences around the world eagerly anticipate the unveiling of this year’s nominees.